Strappa models every player prop from real game data, then compares it to the live market — surfacing only the bets where the price is genuinely in your favour.
*Modelled performance on graded value bets to date. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Bet responsibly.
Every edge is derived from data you can inspect — no opaque “expert” calls.
We fit a probability distribution to each player's recent form — strikeouts, disposals, goals — adjusted for the exact opponent they face tonight.
That projected probability is measured against the live bookmaker price across markets, stripping out the vig to find the true gap.
Only bets where our number beats the market show as value — ranked by edge, filtered for reliability, with suggested stake sizing.
Counting-stat markets, where a real statistical model has a genuine edge.
Disposals · marks · goals · kicks
Pitcher strikeouts · hits · bases
Points · rebounds · assists — soon
Strappa is a tool for thinking, not a tipster handing you certainties.
Every output is a probability estimate from data — frequently inaccurate, never a sure thing. We show the maths, including the markets where we have no edge.
Nothing here is betting, financial or professional advice, or a recommendation to place a bet. Strappa is not a bookmaker and never handles your money.
Any bet you place is your decision and your risk. Past performance never guarantees future results. Only ever stake what you can afford to lose.
No. Strappa publishes statistical predictions for information and entertainment. It is not a tipster, not betting advice, and not a recommendation to bet. What you do with the numbers is entirely up to you.
There is no guarantee of any kind. Edges are small, variance is real, and the model is often wrong. Betting carries risk and you can lose money. Never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Models fit to historical and form data — player game logs, pitcher records, race form — adjusted for the specific matchup. The market price is compared after the model has its own number, so we're not just echoing the bookies.
Adults 18 and over, where it's legal to do so. See our Terms of Use.